Most housing research relies on a single-margin model where a single housing price relates to a single housing quantity. We ...

The natural rate of interest is the inflation-adjusted interest rate consistent with the economy operating at full capacity.

Watch Mary Daly discuss inflation, recent shocks, AI investment demand and the Fed’s outlook on Bloomberg Surveillance.

The U.S. unemployment rate has trended down for decades. Estimates after removing business cycle fluctuations show that the ...

Since employment dynamics are persistent, a central bank’s dual mandate to promote maximum employment and price stability ...

This data series is part of the Center for Monetary Research. The Treasury yield premium model by Jens H.E. Christensen and Glenn D. Rudebusch (CR) decomposes the nominal yield curve into three ...

PCE Inflation Contributions from Goods and Services provides monthly updates on price changes for the broad categories of goods and services that U.S. households consume, as measured by personal ...

The personal consumption expenditure price index (PCEPI) is one measure of U.S. inflation, tracking the change in prices of goods and services purchased by consumers throughout the economy. Of all the ...

Cyclical and Acyclical Core PCE Inflation updates data on the contributions to core personal consumption expenditures from cyclical and acyclical components, based on the methods described in Mahedy ...

This data series is part of the Center for Monetary Research. Market-Based Monetary Uncertainty provides daily indicators measuring the uncertainty about future short-term interest rates based on ...

This data series is part of the Center for Monetary Research. Treasury Yield Skewness is a daily indicator measuring the risks to the future outlook for interest rates, based on prices of Treasury ...