The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model is on a sizzling 42-25 run on top-rated picks dating back to 2024. Anybody following its NFL betting picks at sportsbooks and on betting sites could have seen strong returns.

My Week 6 picks went 15-15 overall and included correct cover picks for Carolina, Cincinnati, Atlanta and the New York Giants. Here are my Week 7 picks.

The Colts are 5-1. They are second in overall team DVOA, first on offense and 15th on defense. It’s not a fluke. They’ve played efficient football with Daniel Jones at quarterback, they have a run game that’s mauling opponents and there is also a defense that’s doing just enough.

Week 7 started off with a bang, as Joe Flacco and Aaron Rodgers gifted us one of the games of the year in the "Icy Hot Bowl." Flacco threw for 342 yards and three touchdowns in the Cincinnati Bengals' 33-31 win over the Pittsburgh Steelers,

Should we expect a big day for the Bucs' receiving core? Can Quinshon Judkins go over 100 yards? And which AFC game could be low-scoring?

The New Orleans Saints aren’t the team that will be stopping Diggs on Sunday. They’ve struggled against top receivers this season, allowing Marvin Harrison Jr, Jauan Jennings, Smith-Njigba and Khalil Shakir to roast them for at least 69 yards receiving, and all have scored a touchdown.

Florio’s pick: Vikings 20, Browns 10. Simms’s pick: Browns 20, Vikings 17. It’s no longer about desperation for the Ravens. It’s about simple, basic pride. Florio’s pick: Ravens 19, Texans 13.

Staff picks for all 15 Week 7 games, with a rundown of which teams should be worried and which games to watch.