Stable but elevated” isn't something you want to hear in a medical checkup or in a recession likelihood outlook.

An unprecedented inversion of the U.S. yield curve led to a sharp increase in the New York Fed's recession probability estimates. A one-month Treasury bill currently yields 2.2% more than a 10-year ...

A surprisingly hawkish stance by the Bank of Japan and receding concerns about a blow-out in public finances have boosted the ...

Japan is cutting back on its ultra-long bond supply in October and December by ¥100 billion ($675 million) at each auction, ...

Most likely range for 3-month bill yields in 10 years remained in the 0% to 1% range. The probability of being in this range ...

The Federal Reserve seems poised to cut interest rates soon, and fear of a recession is one driver why the central bank would want to slash borrowing costs. Steven Goldstein is based in London and ...

The model shows earthquake probability curves for central Oklahoma increasing to 2015 due to brine injection. After injection is reduced and assumed to end in 2017, brine continues to diffuse in the ...

We last wrote on the SPDR® Gold Shares ETF (NYSEARCA:GLD) and the iShares Silver Trust ETF (NYSEARCA:SLV) back in February. That article was titled "GLD Vs. SLV: I See Better Momentum For Gold ...

A popular recession forecasting tool now shows its highest reading since 1981, signaling a high probability of a downturn in the next 12 months. The S&P 500 declined by an average of 31% during the ...

Expertise from Forbes Councils members, operated under license. Opinions expressed are those of the author. A human craving for simplicity is hindering retail’s optimization of artificial intelligence ...