A widely used technique in forecasting trends, seasonality and level change. Exponential smoothing works well with data that has a lot of randomness. THIS DEFINITION IS FOR PERSONAL USE ONLY. All ...

Crane, D. B., and James R. Crotty. "A Two-Stage Forecasting Model: Exponential Smoothing and Multiple Regression." Management Science 13, no. 8 (April 1966).

We extend the argument initiated by Cox (1961) that the exponential smoothing formula can be made more robust for multi-step forecasts if the smoothing parameter is adjusted as a function of the ...

Consider a complex subsystem such as a missile which undergoes testing in stages. That is, the subsystem is tested ni times with xi recorded successes at the i-th stage of testing. The reliability of ...